Other European Leagues · resolved market
AVS Futebol vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x945aa3bef79a4e9e8daae60ebdd0fad8744142d7a8d9364d45b31af99ddb1a7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 8,669$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,103.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 60c | 4,256$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 52c | 1,308$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 855.39$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 6c | 326.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.91 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Over | 56c | 251.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 158.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 70c | 128.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 31c | 124$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Over | 31c | 97.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…0c2abacked Over | 57c | 87.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Under | 68c | 79.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 50c | 78.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 57c | 61.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Over | 36c | 51.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked Under | 72c | 51.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 60c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Over | 29c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 63c | 38.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Under | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Under | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Over | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 39c | 27.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 53c | 23.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 60c | 22.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Under | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Under | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Under | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 69cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AVS Futebol vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5this page
- AVS Futebol vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AVS Futebol vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.