Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e2df5c50d1c5a268668e70f7127675c0a3de97130525d5afe737d2244f97185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 6,277$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.76 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 1,284$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes | 21c | 978$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.76 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 79c | 806.96$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 20c | 770$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 5c | 657.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 21c | 501$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 478.63$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 20c | 346.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 19c | 274.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…e8e9backed Yes | 39c | 253.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…68b9backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 25c | 248.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 210.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 66c | 198.87$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd768…249dbacked Yes | 13c | 146.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Yes | 20c | 141.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 15c | 138.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 121.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 17c | 118.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…43dbbacked Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…f7fcbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 20c | 69.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 18c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2992…0d26backed Yes | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 19c | 67.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Yes | 20c | 65.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9eb…1424backed Yes | 17c | 64.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9558…9579backed No | 80c | 63.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…6b1bbacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…2889backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…9bfebacked Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…d760backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed No | 80c | 48.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48f…be1cbacked Yes | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed No | 80c | 17.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa3…8eddbacked No | 79c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw?this page
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?Yes won
- Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.