Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3e06a60e801b2a14c60e81f1993bb49dc062552ac779222ec9bb673435ee2c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 6,210$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.11 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 11c | 5,433$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.73 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 9c | 2,099$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Yes | 10c | 1,800$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 13c | 1,260$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.41 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 12c | 1,227$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.11 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 13c | 1,071$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 10c | 613.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 7c | 603.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 13c | 453.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 13c | 443$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…79a0backed Yes | 14c | 359.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 12c | 342$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 12c | 333.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 9c | 302.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 267.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 15c | 206.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…e22fbacked Yes | 10c | 200.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cb…1f7bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 10c | 174.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…2889backed Yes | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 14c | 142.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 12c | 121.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…9baebacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 12c | 106.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…ce0bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…f5bebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…9bfebacked Yes | 11c | 95.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…82c6backed Yes | 13c | 88.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Yes | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10?this page
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?Yes won
- Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.