Euroleague · resolved market
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Jiangsu Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb39302a97b23e524192bd42f9e9cb5267a70e4e48b6e0fda67edef2e38ae4bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Leopardsof Shenzhen Leopards, Jiangsu Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,275 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 14,430$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.67 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…8d08backed Jiangsu Dragons | 0c | 6,795$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 5,152$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.78 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…2d59backed Jiangsu Dragons | 5c | 2,886$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 2,827$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.38 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 6c | 2,142$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 2,141$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.79 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 15c | 2,053$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.73 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 1,300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 1,274$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 1,027$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Jiangsu Dragons | 19c | 1,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…6f5ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 2c | 738.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 663.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 15c | 452.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Jiangsu Dragons | 5c | 307.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 237.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…1646backed Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 235$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 207.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Jiangsu Dragons | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 179.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 154.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 124.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 124.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 108.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 107$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Jiangsu Dragons | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 16c | 74.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…6f00backed Jiangsu Dragons | 50c | 35.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…6409backed Shenzhen Leopards | 50c | 35.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…4f5abacked Shenzhen Leopards | 50c | 33.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 21.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.