Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1682461ac1465606c4de09277968de7713703f82c64d55b61ed0186af9b8a716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,734 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 2,428$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.05 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc765…9322backed No | 62c | 1,978$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 903.73$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.81 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 58c | 657.14$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.4 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Yes | 43c | 561.63$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 31c | 320.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 28c | 258.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.91 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 208.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 28cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 36c | 199.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 77c | 198.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 19c | 183.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 23c | 171.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 169.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 36c | 143.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 75c | 132.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 132.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked No | 38c | 130$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…fb5bbacked Yes | 53c | 117.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Yes | 55c | 84.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 29c | 82.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 81.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 69c | 72.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 64.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 73c | 44.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 30c | 43.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 39.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…b420backed Yes | 70c | 31.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…54a3backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9d…1e4bbacked Yes | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 49c | 22.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.