Euroleague · resolved market
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Shanghai Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x645c423b2b72964de35835cceef329ad9e443008d340b172dc4cf2cded17e5a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Sharksof Tianjin Pioneers, Shanghai Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 1,602$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.56 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 9c | 1,600$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tianjin Pioneers | 7c | 1,532$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 8c | 1,525$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tianjin Pioneers | 8c | 932.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Shanghai Sharks | 79c | 876.94$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tianjin Pioneers | 24c | 804.81$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tianjin Pioneers | 10c | 734.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Tianjin Pioneers | 23c | 726$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.43 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Tianjin Pioneers | 12c | 579.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Tianjin Pioneers | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Tianjin Pioneers | 61c | 432.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.05 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 11c | 396.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 368$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 9c | 299.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 293$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 282$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Shanghai Sharks | 75c | 218$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +196.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shanghai Sharks | 63c | 215.71$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 213$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Tianjin Pioneers | 11c | 178.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…d36ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 11c | 125.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tianjin Pioneers | 9c | 117.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Tianjin Pioneers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…1b63backed Shanghai Sharks | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…415abacked Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 98.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…5d46backed Tianjin Pioneers | 17c | 82.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…1588backed Shanghai Sharks | 29c | 78.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…5f98backed Shanghai Sharks | 80c | 59.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shanghai Sharks | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5396…6a3bbacked Shanghai Sharks | 79c | 36.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Shanghai Sharks | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.