Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kilmarnock FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47c12fcb621e633ffca7c268ea1d4cf60d743590ff32c84cbf09e97fe6fea5a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,668 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,973$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 1,044$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.13 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 833.58$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…a954backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 329.68$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 22c | 326.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…ba4bbacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…c799backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 25c | 184.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 143.23$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 94.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 72.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 69.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 65.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 26c | 59.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 26c | 49.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 28.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 78c | 21.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…d848backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kilmarnock FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.