Fifa International · resolved market
Will Denmark vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5f0b8566e0cbffc05a3ae3b911f857c74e1d98ca4aee79ceaae2193fb2be301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 39,276$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.61 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 13c | 10,146$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.09 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 14c | 9,608$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.78 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 15c | 6,437$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.3 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 15c | 6,234$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.43 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 1,599$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.74 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 22c | 1,455$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,341$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 792.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 13c | 784.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 14c | 776.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 15c | 570.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 79c | 508.76$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 15c | 500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 16c | 380.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…8378backed Yes | 14c | 378.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 16c | 352$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 331.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 6c | 305.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 21c | 260$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Yes | 20c | 209.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 18c | 153.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 80c | 149.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 146.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes | 15c | 130.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 16c | 119.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 15c | 115.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 16c | 64.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…20bbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 57c | 39.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Denmark vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?this page
- Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?Yes won
- Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.