Fifa International · resolved market
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d96a4e7b902ebf5b690577e4c23da3a40bc2884c4ebc506c30ef762b47324d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes | 6c | 7,744$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8a…4f37backed Yes | 5c | 7,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 6c | 6,126$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.82 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 7c | 2,729$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…a006backed Yes | 2c | 2,709$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,413$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 5c | 1,188$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Yes | 9c | 1,117$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked Yes | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 6c | 1,037$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…8378backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 5c | 720$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…3999backed Yes | 6c | 653.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd0…a092backed Yes | 2c | 600.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed Yes | 8c | 513$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 6c | 444$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 7c | 436$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…4035backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 6c | 346$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…3fb8backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 332.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1876…2d3abacked Yes | 6c | 266.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes | 6c | 252.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 5c | 251.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 8c | 246.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…56a8backed Yes | 5c | 245$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c5…a162backed Yes | 6c | 238.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…9fc8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb363…db78backed Yes | 6c | 194.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 6c | 167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8c06backed Yes | 8c | 160.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…3162backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-26?this page
- Will Denmark vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?No won
- Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.