Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Danilina/Krunic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20cddb51949a9d72e12592ad7267ec26d66cbda933d577f484d74e7021da42ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Danilina/Krunicof Aoyama/Liang, Danilina/Krunic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aoyama/Liang | 19c | 13,401$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.9 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Aoyama/Liang | 21c | 7,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Aoyama/Liang | 48c | 3,200$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.52 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Aoyama/Liang | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aoyama/Liang | 16c | 2,920$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.33 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…1c12backed Aoyama/Liang | 24c | 2,044$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…0888backed Danilina/Krunic | 75c | 1,902$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Danilina/Krunic | 52c | 1,490$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.19 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Aoyama/Liang | 21c | 1,464$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.43 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Aoyama/Liang | 23c | 1,210$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.63 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Aoyama/Liang | 22c | 900$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aoyama/Liang | 24c | 848.52$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.66 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Aoyama/Liang | 49c | 623.28$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Aoyama/Liang | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Danilina/Krunic | 80c | 474.04$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Aoyama/Liang | 28c | 382.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Aoyama/Liang | 26c | 354.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Aoyama/Liang | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Danilina/Krunic | 79c | 299.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…5d44backed Aoyama/Liang | 24c | 260.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Danilina/Krunic | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Danilina/Krunic | 52c | 242.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Aoyama/Liang | 22c | 202.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Danilina/Krunic | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Danilina/Krunic | 59c | 181.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…72f0backed Danilina/Krunic | 78c | 177.96$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Aoyama/Liang | 22c | 154.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Danilina/Krunic | 52c | 152.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Danilina/Krunic | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Aoyama/Liang | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce9…6cfdbacked Danilina/Krunic | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Aoyama/Liang | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Aoyama/Liang | 22c | 129.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…25f9backed Danilina/Krunic | 79c | 124.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Aoyama/Liang | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Danilina/Krunic | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Danilina/Krunic | 76c | 108.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked Aoyama/Liang | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Aoyama/Liang | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Danilina/Krunic | 70c | 97.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aoyama/Liang | 15c | 97.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Aoyama/Liang | 22c | 85.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Danilina/Krunic | 52c | 76.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Danilina/Krunic | 62c | 72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Aoyama/Liang | 17c | 60.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Aoyama/Liang | 23c | 56.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Aoyama/Liang | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Aoyama/Liang | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Aoyama/Liang | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Danilina/Krunic | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Aoyama/Liang | 22c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Danilina/Krunic | 76c | 48.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…c03dbacked Aoyama/Liang | 47c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Danilina/Krunic | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Aoyama/Liang | 22c | 45.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Aoyama/Liang | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Aoyama/Liang | 32c | 45.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 391 | 54.2%212 W · 179 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aoyama/Liang | 36c | 39.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…f937backed Aoyama/Liang | 45c | 37.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Danilina/Krunic | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Danilina/Krunic | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Danilina/Krunic | 52c | 26.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab37…7b61backed Danilina/Krunic | 80c | 21.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Danilina/Krunic | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…0a19backed Danilina/Krunic | 74c | 17.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Danilina/Krunic | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +15.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…a465backed Danilina/Krunic | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.