Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d063ad8a1144daa7d7d31c24933610b1de4af8652fab064aee5041e089703a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 48,869$5,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,798.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 7c | 20,367$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.17 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 18,731$8,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,261.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 63c | 14,976$9,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,514.29 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 13,928$6,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,894.57 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 57c | 10,000$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.93 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 5,008$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.36 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 4,802$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.64 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.96 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed No | 9c | 3,230$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.66 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…2983backed Yes | 44c | 2,805$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.55 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 15c | 2,439$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.02 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 43c | 2,406$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.32 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 2,387$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.64 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 57c | 2,012$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.84 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 1,932$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.38 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 56c | 1,777$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.06 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 21c | 1,212$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.96 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…fca5backed Yes | 43c | 1,202$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.31 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 44c | 1,194$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.52 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…6babbacked Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 43c | 1,150$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.11 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 58c | 819.17$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.12 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 43c | 818.6$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.6 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 5c | 776.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 4c | 643.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 2c | 609.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 44c | 591.6$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.3 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 41c | 585.37$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.37 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 6c | 573.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8f…56e5backed Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 44c | 524.85$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 43c | 444.47$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.35 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 438$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 24c | 409.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…92b8backed Yes | 42c | 384.67$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.71 | 144 | 61.1%88 W · 56 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 71c | 377$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 5c | 374.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 28c | 372$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 57c | 312$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 57c | 312$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 43c | 287.72$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 56c | 280$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…3288backed Yes | 43c | 279.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…db88backed Yes | 78c | 269.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…66aebacked No | 57c | 260$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…69a3backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…f522backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…e170backed No | 58c | 225.86$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…29d9backed No | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…d019backed Yes | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd86…a1bebacked No | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…9c22backed Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 72c | 165$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 79c | 149.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 145.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…fd98backed No | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Yes | 43c | 132.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 44c | 130.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…eecebacked No | 58c | 125.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa443…1826backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 43c | 121.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed No | 58c | 120.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 119.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands leading at halftime?this page
- Netherlands vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?No won
- Sweden leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.