Sweden leading at halftime?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4294b2ee0063de31eddf6a2c12d98f754c19d505adc1917d0d08e3dad45e02d

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $100,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $110,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,216 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	1c	13,107$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.52	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	19c	10,936$2,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,129.76	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	3c	7,261$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.69	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	19c	6,636$1,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260.84	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No	80c	3,788$3,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757.6	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No	80c	3,200$2,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No	80c	2,944$2,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.8	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	20c	2,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes	19c	1,680$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.13	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	142	34.5%49 W · 93 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	3c	809.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Yes	12c	719.17$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.75	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No	80c	600$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2618…aecfbacked Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb70…be84backed Yes	19c	502.26$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.43	64	14.1%9 W · 55 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No	80c	501$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.2	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	233	36.9%86 W · 147 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	80c	449.41$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.88	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No	80c	400$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes	19c	309.37$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.78	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x937a…dbc8backed Yes	20c	296.6$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	309	28.8%89 W · 220 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eef…dc37backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa6…26e8backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes	20c	252.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	300	32.3%97 W · 203 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2cc…4c52backed Yes	19c	233.16$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb7b…bfeebacked Yes	20c	220$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+18%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	18c	217$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.06	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	336	53.3%179 W · 157 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	8c	160$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes	19c	157.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	11c	127.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No	80c	120$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	373	20.9%78 W · 295 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	399	56.6%226 W · 173 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	315	43.5%137 W · 178 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	146	24.7%36 W · 110 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9666…2830backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	284	39.1%111 W · 173 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xada6…9447backed No	80c	78$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No	80c	72.35$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.47	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes	20c	70$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…135abacked Yes	20c	65$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No	80c	60$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	459	49.5%227 W · 232 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No	80c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	80c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	423	52%220 W · 203 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	464	53.2%247 W · 217 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	397	49.9%198 W · 199 L	-16.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sweden leading at halftime?this page
Netherlands leading at halftime?Yes won
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sweden leading at halftime?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event