Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Draper (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bfaa680638e8a04342fbf0fc82c5a6978f15d69147d25b6584fbc5538ff5d8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atmaneof Draper, Atmane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7547…d158backed Draper | 43c | 381.71$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Atmane | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…1489backed Atmane | 56c | 232.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Atmane | 57c | 199.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Draper | 44c | 186.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Draper | 43c | 99.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Draper | 42c | 71.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…832ebacked Atmane | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Draper | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Draper | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Atmane | 58c | 49.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Draper | 42c | 41.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…60a2backed Atmane | 58c | 37.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Draper | 42c | 36.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Draper | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Draper | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Draper | 45c | 34.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Atmane | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atmane | 57c | 26.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Draper | 43c | 25.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Draper | 46c | 22.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Atmane | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Draper (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)this page
- Atmane vs. Draper: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Atmane vs. Draper: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Atmane vs. Draper: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack DraperTerence Atmane won
- Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs DraperAtmane won
- Set Handicap: Atmane (-1.5) vs Draper (+1.5)Draper won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.