Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste: Noah Lopez Cherubino vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a3732b575a77fc2a3da0730b2a12cc7529f570fc2bc8707684681ee95137393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pavlos Tsitsipasof Noah Lopez Cherubino, Pavlos Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 63c | 1,724$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.96 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 40c | 1,541$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.73 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 68c | 367.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 51c | 229$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 50c | 178.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 32c | 168$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 49c | 117.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 55c | 106.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 53c | 93.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 55c | 43.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 65c | 39.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Noah Lopez Cherubino | 80c | 38.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Noah Lopez Cherubino | 76c | 15.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.