Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dab25906a741915c13dd04d240d515d279980014e2c38639cfd3adaedde0d71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 1,529$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.32 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 79c | 1,264$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 36c | 984.18$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 895.37$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.58 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 889.7$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.17 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 735.02$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.41 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 21c | 473.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 43c | 430.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.14 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 17c | 292.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 280.28$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 277$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 232.01$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.05 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 25c | 187.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 40c | 184.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 46c | 164$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…59fdbacked No | 75c | 160$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 72c | 149.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 142.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 77c | 139.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…85f8backed Yes | 33c | 137.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 26c | 127.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 42c | 122.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 11c | 109.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 66c | 98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 71c | 92.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 38c | 80.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 27c | 78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 71.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…a91cbacked Yes | 28c | 69.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 61c | 69.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 73c | 67.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 28c | 41.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…9e45backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 54c | 38.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 75c | 35.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 49c | 34.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed No | 75c | 33.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed No | 73c | 29.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Yes | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…332ebacked Yes | 76c | 25.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked Yes | 65c | 23.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 45c | 22.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 73c | 19.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 76c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-26?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.