MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9f06e92fa22ad39e19687779800082ff710a7d69e581e5a16e0a8259784302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 54c | 215,601$115,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,494.48 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 114,970$53,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,386.21 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 20,760$9,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,121.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 13,282$6,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,160.09 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 46c | 12,953$5,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,994.73 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 46c | 12,849$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,938.46 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 12,754$5,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,843.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 5,347$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.4 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 49c | 3,636$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.39 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 3,186$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 46c | 2,726$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.02 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 47c | 1,713$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.23 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 56c | 1,135$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.6 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 975$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.84 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 47c | 960.72$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.18 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 939.92$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 46c | 632.22$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.4 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 596.38$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 46c | 571$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.34 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 483.33$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.93 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 414.42$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.25 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Under | 49c | 410.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.94 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 47c | 373.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 46c | 329$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 46c | 299$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 283.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 46c | 267.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Under | 47c | 248.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 46c | 235.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 53c | 233.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.69 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 55c | 215.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 141$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 53c | 135.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 36c | 132.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…509dbacked Under | 48c | 111.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 94.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 88.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Under | 46c | 77.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 76.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 47c | 64.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 54c | 63.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Under | 65c | 59.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 54c | 54.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Over | 54c | 53.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 47c | 52.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 38c | 49.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…b52dbacked Over | 54c | 38.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 48c | 37.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 54c | 34.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 47c | 32.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…dc39backed Under | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 54c | 28.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Under | 46c | 27.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Under | 46c | 27.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Under | 46c | 27.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles AngelsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.