MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1197ac74f70a6d0d7d2f1218b54109c42fd2e24d81f5e9f946ebbb538060086d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Los Angeles Angels, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 6,462$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 6,289$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 2,592$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.71 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 1,692$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 1,104$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.29 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Los Angeles Angels | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 929$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 551.04$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 539.5$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 499.79$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.92 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 395.2$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 298.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 262.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 262.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 220$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 199$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 190.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 154$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 130.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 89.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 87.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 64.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 64.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 64.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…b178backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 40.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 37.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 23.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles AngelsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.