Mls · resolved market
Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabbf27aba65e916bb7a99e7f29c547a6c67794a9b0a88662ef3b3d0910915789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 46c | 42,537$19,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,098.14 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 9,228$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,192.78 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 55c | 8,000$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 7,471$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.01 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 4,960$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.85 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 3,849$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.08 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 54c | 3,835$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.68 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 53c | 3,739$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 54c | 3,082$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 2,500$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.68 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 2,500$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.95 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 54c | 2,035$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 61c | 1,195$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.46 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 1,054$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.91 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 47c | 974.71$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.4 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…88e7backed Under | 56c | 924.99$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 888.66$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.47 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 56c | 874.13$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.51 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 51c | 828.89$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.93 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 824.37$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.16 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 767.79$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.33 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 54c | 614.96$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 44c | 580.83$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.49 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 38c | 558.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.1 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 56c | 512$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 475.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Over | 46c | 469.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.39 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 54c | 446$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.42 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 374.32$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 69c | 356.49$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 320.57$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 49c | 280$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 31c | 268.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 227.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…e11ebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 48c | 210.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 177$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 54c | 157$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 149$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 45c | 148$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 143.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 54c | 138$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 56c | 128.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 43c | 128.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 47c | 127.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 54c | 118.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 43c | 117$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 48c | 115.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 54c | 113.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 108.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 51c | 97.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 56c | 96.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 76c | 92.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…6c08backed Under | 54c | 89.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 83.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 55c | 81.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 54c | 75.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 53c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…b765backed Under | 40c | 60.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 51c | 60.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 54c | 59.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…d3fabacked Over | 59c | 57.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 56.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 55c | 54.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 54c | 43.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…6726backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 35c | 39.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 33.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 49c | 31.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 27.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff5…051fbacked Under | 59c | 27.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 26.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x911c…87bcbacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Over | 59c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 55c | 20.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5this page
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: New York Red Bulls 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: New York Red Bulls O/U 0.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: New York Red Bulls O/U 1.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: New York Red Bulls O/U 2.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: Philadelphia Union O/U 1.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: Philadelphia Union O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)New York Red Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.