TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$398,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over52c207,692$108,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,692.1546949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb727…2a9dbacked Under48c114,171$54,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,801.954645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Under48c82,539$39,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,618.823138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under48c58,333$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,00032152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over50c30,664$15,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,331.7686548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over52c17,097$8,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,206.511,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe51f…473dbacked Under49c7,143$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over61c5,683$3,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.0610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c5,561$2,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.491,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over52c4,808$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.6939047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under13c3,674$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.348,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c3,439$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.076,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over51c2,483$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.7820845.2%94 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under40c1,814$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.0511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c1,750$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.515,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c7…8366backed Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+45.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under50c1,555$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.51,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over51c1,021$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.2968053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under32c1,017$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.922,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under47c1,010$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.368,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa90…c709backed Over52c984.69$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.896256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38432850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2381,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over51c700$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34123758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under49c613.59$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.218,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under48c613.16$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3229147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over52c612.92$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.872,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over52c585$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.81,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.145445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Under58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2325141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22429950.5%151 W · 148 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac6…a8cebacked Over51c391.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.017941.8%33 W · 46 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under47c379.48$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.443,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3647545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under48c292.73$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5128154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over65c289.87$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over51c280.02$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2147350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under30c260$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810945.9%50 W · 59 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over53c207.68$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3720945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over50c199$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.51,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under26c182.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6416539.4%65 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under15c179$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.971,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over54c175.05$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.771,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over53c173.45$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.522,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under50c166$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8344245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…f040backed Under6c162.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10614.9%3 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under66c150.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011560.9%70 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over51c131$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.191,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over51c130$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.777050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over51c129.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.72,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Under30c106.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9130934.3%106 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Over53c105.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6616340.5%66 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over58c82.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9355645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Under29c82.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1655448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under60c81.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0828749.5%142 W · 145 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over51c78.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3418741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over50c69.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0934255.3%189 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Under27c62.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712244.3%54 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over51c60.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6517253.5%92 W · 80 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Under49c55.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2619555.9%109 W · 86 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under47c51.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3942448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over51c51.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0131258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Over35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.513864.5%89 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c47.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.89,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under31c46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2647446.6%221 W · 253 L+26.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd934…ab75backed Under66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Over39c43.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8110143.6%44 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c42.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.452,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over50c40.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3395252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed Over62c40.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.221028.8%9 W · 93 L-31.9wins-0.31per pick40cpaid-82%equal weight22-0.25 edge/pick
0x32e2…af02backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013850.7%70 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe399…6bd7backed Over44c38.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under48c35.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.152,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over62c34.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.345,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Over50c34.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.47258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under46c28.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0642451.9%220 W · 204 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over51c28.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7388247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Under38c26.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over53c25.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1456435.1%198 W · 366 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127139.4%28 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under50c23.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.722,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4a…4efebacked Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.297546.7%35 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over55c20.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2826857.1%153 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae57…9d63backed Over50c20.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Over51c19.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.749755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.