MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x368a11c1bcc1215aa64173ac25e2527573b97729576dbfeea24ea943163b9401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Atlanta Braves, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 52.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…4d66backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 38.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b4…bb36backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 37.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…005fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 34.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf835…ec25backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 33.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…b7d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 33.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…0720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 33.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…44e9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 33.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…8179backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 32.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…24a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…f5d9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 32.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…b036backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 31.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6b…13b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…9f54backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 30.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5620…1764backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 30.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…a79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 30.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42a…31d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 30.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bd…cc0abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 29.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2a7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 29.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…b0c6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 29.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…0380backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 29.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db8…4af2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 29.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…f9fbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 29.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5206backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 29.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…77d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 29.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…ae3cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 29.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…125abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…9483backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 28.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…95d7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 28.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…4e21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 28.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…a9b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 28.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…bed7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 28.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…f6dcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 28.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…f2c6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 27.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…237bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 27.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…cc49backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 26.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…aa45backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 26.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…8194backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…bb82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 23.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…6b74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 23.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…a57cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 22.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…760bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 22.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b19…17f5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…d59bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c38…c255backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 21.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 1,494 | 63.4%947 W · 547 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.