MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a7023abdc880f29ebbc81a16fcce490bef3f0faccedae7a6fb884b7e0b6b78a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 58c | 1,896$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.26 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 20c | 1,509$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.49 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,399$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 16c | 952.76$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 65c | 461.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 48c | 319.14$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.19 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 58c | 248.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 39c | 226.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 200.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 35c | 133$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 47c | 125.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 53c | 119.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 42c | 104.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 54c | 97.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 24c | 90.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over | 34c | 77.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Over | 26c | 75.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 35c | 72.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 28c | 70.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 62c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Over | 24c | 64.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 39.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 30.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 41c | 28.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Under | 65c | 28.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 77c | 27.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 42c | 27.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9d38backed Over | 43c | 26.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.