TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c16,735$8,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,169.2211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.9216548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under50c9,722$4,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,867.1655053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c9,532$4,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,676.291,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c5,662$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.961,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under53c4,656$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.4433554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c3,770$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.545,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c3,759$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.634,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c3,403$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.674,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under49c3,109$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.7124551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c2,709$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.348,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c2,026$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c1,515$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.818,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over24c1,393$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.432,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over22c1,380$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.368,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over47c1,149$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.883,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over54c1,109$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.8468053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52021052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under49c991.19$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.7689053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over46c609.18$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.222,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c585.6$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.81,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c540.82$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.829,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c485.59$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.376,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over48c469.8$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1328154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over53c428.13$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.961,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under53c422.15$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4137052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under49c410.15$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.8340341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under48c368.91$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8386548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under47c343.96$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.32,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over34c312.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.075,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over49c303.45$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6965549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under77c287.88$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1387352.7%460 W · 413 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under58c276$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.381,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over56c272.72$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7287750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c85…d15dbacked Over51c262.08$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Over49c260$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.41020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-56.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over49c220$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.81,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under48c199.84$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.921,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c197.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.846,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0824350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.61,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over50c176$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815147%71 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7539948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c136$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.642,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Over52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under42c125.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2990446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over45c111.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3879255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Over53c110.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6722350.7%113 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5244949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4899447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over50c94.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.432,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c93.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.623,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.377050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Under48c82.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.81862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under51c77.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3858649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over43c76.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0672655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fa…9611backed Over50c72.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.273040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over50c68.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.484,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over53c62.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2559749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under51c62.72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7751555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Over25c60.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2821055.2%116 W · 94 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under54c60.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6642241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over45c58.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.331,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x392a…da0cbacked Under53c56.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.346657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under51c52.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8640554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e94…776bbacked Under48c52.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0918444.6%82 W · 102 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0831258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0469…5eb0backed Over53c50.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8815549.7%77 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under54c48.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.435942.4%25 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Under53c45.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.281782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.0wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+58.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6725448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8216544.8%74 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1625256.7%143 W · 109 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1178155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7423455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over45c35.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.842,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce6…9d69backed Over59c33.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993727%10 W · 27 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c30.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.931,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155056%28 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under47c27.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.615764.9%37 W · 20 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under50c27.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.662,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b7…fd93backed Over48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128241.5%34 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over43c24.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.763954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under60c24.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c20.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.672,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over53c20.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Over52c19.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0910759.8%64 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.