Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe555d785d53c42d9682a3d94405ce15bf4acd7dc056854f8a9176ab46d8fda9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- La Laguna Tenerifeof Real Madrid, La Laguna Tenerife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed La Laguna Tenerife | 26c | 12,730$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,463.81 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid | 69c | 4,169$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.97 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed La Laguna Tenerife | 13c | 4,099$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.69 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Real Madrid | 15c | 2,783$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.46 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Real Madrid | 70c | 2,286$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Real Madrid | 72c | 2,014$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…dda9backed Real Madrid | 78c | 1,930$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Real Madrid | 38c | 1,780$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.71 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…2f2abacked La Laguna Tenerife | 13c | 1,385$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 31c | 1,052$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed La Laguna Tenerife | 19c | 1,038$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Real Madrid | 59c | 957.44$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.22 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed La Laguna Tenerife | 25c | 883.63$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 30c | 779.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.73 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Real Madrid | 44c | 710.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…6907backed Real Madrid | 70c | 699.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed La Laguna Tenerife | 12c | 658.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.26 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Real Madrid | 50c | 623.29$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.55 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 31c | 581$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.89 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…b19dbacked Real Madrid | 72c | 555.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Real Madrid | 68c | 446.32$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Real Madrid | 72c | 356.37$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed La Laguna Tenerife | 44c | 274.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…038abacked Real Madrid | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Real Madrid | 15c | 225.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Real Madrid | 78c | 221.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.15 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed La Laguna Tenerife | 20c | 221.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Real Madrid | 72c | 215$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed La Laguna Tenerife | 18c | 207.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.11 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 65c | 195.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Real Madrid | 20c | 195.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed La Laguna Tenerife | 30c | 190.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Real Madrid | 40c | 173.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed La Laguna Tenerife | 28c | 172.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.92 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Real Madrid | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Real Madrid | 72c | 166.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Real Madrid | 79c | 160.16$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…c24ebacked Real Madrid | 65c | 157.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 39c | 154.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Real Madrid | 76c | 145$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…8824backed Real Madrid | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed La Laguna Tenerife | 43c | 134.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Real Madrid | 58c | 125.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed La Laguna Tenerife | 23c | 124.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed La Laguna Tenerife | 29c | 110.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked La Laguna Tenerife | 31c | 110.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Real Madrid | 20c | 104.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed La Laguna Tenerife | 13c | 103.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked La Laguna Tenerife | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Real Madrid | 74c | 98.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed La Laguna Tenerife | 11c | 95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…e514backed Real Madrid | 12c | 84.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 37c | 81.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Real Madrid | 33c | 79.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed La Laguna Tenerife | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 30c | 70.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Real Madrid | 74c | 64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked La Laguna Tenerife | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked La Laguna Tenerife | 32c | 59.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Real Madrid | 56c | 51.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…51b9backed Real Madrid | 72c | 51.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 30c | 50.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Real Madrid | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked La Laguna Tenerife | 68c | 49.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb398…3a9fbacked Real Madrid | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Real Madrid | 70c | 37.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Real Madrid | 45c | 30.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Real Madrid | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Real Madrid | 79c | 19.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…695fbacked Real Madrid | 72c | 17.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Real Madrid | 74c | 17.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Real Madrid | 76c | 14.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.