Tennis · resolved market
Plovdiv: Matteo Martineau vs Iliyan Radulov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb89db07f607712b7a93243bfad7c3f39ba42e1711b52f8d34799576637966c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Martineauof Matteo Martineau, Iliyan Radulov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Matteo Martineau | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.05 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Iliyan Radulov | 29c | 3,412$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.7 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Iliyan Radulov | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.98 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Matteo Martineau | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matteo Martineau | 43c | 1,035$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.02 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Iliyan Radulov | 5c | 1,003$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Iliyan Radulov | 34c | 795.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.2 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Iliyan Radulov | 39c | 767.8$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.09 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iliyan Radulov | 21c | 762.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matteo Martineau | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Matteo Martineau | 62c | 466.12$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.73 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…ca30backed Iliyan Radulov | 14c | 388.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Iliyan Radulov | 60c | 313.2$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.15 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Martineau | 63c | 302.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Matteo Martineau | 64c | 278.78$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Iliyan Radulov | 59c | 251$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Iliyan Radulov | 24c | 248.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Matteo Martineau | 36c | 246.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.46 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Martineau | 56c | 229.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Iliyan Radulov | 19c | 204$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Matteo Martineau | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matteo Martineau | 40c | 197.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Iliyan Radulov | 9c | 181.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Iliyan Radulov | 35c | 168.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Matteo Martineau | 38c | 162.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Matteo Martineau | 38c | 151.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Iliyan Radulov | 31c | 144.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Matteo Martineau | 40c | 124.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Iliyan Radulov | 20c | 117.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Matteo Martineau | 39c | 112.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Iliyan Radulov | 59c | 109$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Matteo Martineau | 39c | 105.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Iliyan Radulov | 57c | 102.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Matteo Martineau | 49c | 99.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Iliyan Radulov | 60c | 99.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Matteo Martineau | 37c | 97.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Matteo Martineau | 41c | 89.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Iliyan Radulov | 39c | 89.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Iliyan Radulov | 32c | 88.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Martineau | 71c | 88.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Iliyan Radulov | 30c | 86.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Iliyan Radulov | 39c | 85.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Iliyan Radulov | 62c | 79.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Iliyan Radulov | 32c | 79.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Matteo Martineau | 41c | 79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Iliyan Radulov | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Iliyan Radulov | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Matteo Martineau | 38c | 60.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Iliyan Radulov | 60c | 59.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Matteo Martineau | 40c | 52.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Matteo Martineau | 39c | 52.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Iliyan Radulov | 37c | 50.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Iliyan Radulov | 57c | 48.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Matteo Martineau | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Matteo Martineau | 42c | 46.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Matteo Martineau | 64c | 43.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Matteo Martineau | 39c | 40.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Matteo Martineau | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Matteo Martineau | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Matteo Martineau | 59c | 35.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Iliyan Radulov | 57c | 34.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Matteo Martineau | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Matteo Martineau | 62c | 31.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Matteo Martineau | 65c | 31.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Matteo Martineau | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Martineau | 46c | 28.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Matteo Martineau | 72c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Iliyan Radulov | 58c | 27.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Matteo Martineau | 38c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Matteo Martineau | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matteo Martineau | 69c | 25.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Iliyan Radulov | 60c | 25.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Matteo Martineau | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Iliyan Radulov | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Matteo Martineau | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…6278backed Matteo Martineau | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Iliyan Radulov | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Iliyan Radulov | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150b…7e58backed Matteo Martineau | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.