Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89e641d6d147f825b02bdf6b73956edf76998478b024598eb946361002678efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 37c | 1,486$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.53 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 27c | 1,480$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed No | 78c | 652.55$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 71c | 646.11$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.04 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 6c | 563.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 62c | 434$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.92 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 64c | 380.17$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.48 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 13c | 350.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 62c | 296.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 23c | 283.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 35c | 264.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 38c | 260.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 11c | 243.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 75c | 238.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked No | 70c | 229.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 214$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 211.36$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 31c | 209.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7183backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 31c | 199.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 190.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 183$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 30c | 164.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…96bdbacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 156.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…1f0abacked Yes | 38c | 149.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…3dd8backed No | 76c | 130.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 35c | 125.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 15c | 120.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed Yes | 29c | 119.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 119.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 67c | 116.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 37c | 113.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 77c | 111$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 63c | 105.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 102$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 69c | 101.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 40c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…932abacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 87.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 54c | 85.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…63a4backed Yes | 38c | 78.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…6084backed Yes | 39c | 76.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 37c | 74.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 15c | 71.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 38c | 71.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 34c | 66.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7135…4c0dbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed No | 79c | 57.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…a330backed Yes | 26c | 56.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 63c | 55.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 65c | 54.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 33c | 48.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…7481backed Yes | 41c | 44.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 67c | 40.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 70c | 40.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…bebcbacked No | 63c | 31.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 41c | 31.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…266abacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed No | 63c | 25.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 74c | 25.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…4b4dbacked No | 70c | 21.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…ef8abacked No | 66c | 18.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C or higher on August 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.