Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6de471316b2b2e13ca7523d7b6502318a44df17efabc05fa749257ecbc775918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 0c | 24,296$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed Yes | 1c | 4,077$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 2,100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked Yes | 12c | 1,462$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…6747backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,042$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 999.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 4c | 939.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 52c | 812.82$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.74 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 47c | 669.68$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.15 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 47c | 587$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.75 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 55c | 415.74$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.74 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 5c | 406.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked Yes | 35c | 325.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 66c | 324.07$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 49c | 266.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 244.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 14c | 242.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…07d3backed Yes | 45c | 220.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 11c | 218.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed No | 54c | 204.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 7c | 194.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…a330backed Yes | 8c | 193.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…e5f1backed Yes | 16c | 184.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 183.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 183.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 45c | 167.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 73c | 164.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7183backed Yes | 38c | 139.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 135.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 46c | 129.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 8c | 128$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 118$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb86…fb51backed Yes | 12c | 117.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 48c | 113.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…1f0abacked Yes | 46c | 112.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 29c | 112.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 62c | 105.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 47c | 100.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed Yes | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 15c | 96.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 15c | 90.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 72c | 85.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked No | 55c | 80.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…8326backed Yes | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 16c | 79.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 28c | 78.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes | 45c | 74.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…784ebacked Yes | 20c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 57c | 69.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…cc2cbacked No | 79c | 68.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 68 | 94.1%64 W · 4 L | +12.7wins | +0.19per pick | 75cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bc…1485backed Yes | 48c | 66.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked No | 56c | 63.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 17c | 63.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 45c | 61.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…bebcbacked No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 34c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 29c | 54.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…b6c6backed No | 63c | 54.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 72c | 53.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 52c | 51.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 57c | 46.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 60c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 56c | 43.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…01fbbacked Yes | 47c | 41.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 48c | 39.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 58c | 38.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 34.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 49c | 31.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…83a4backed Yes | 44c | 31.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 31.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7135…4c0dbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 35c | 28.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a338backed No | 71c | 28.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +29.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f04…425ebacked Yes | 47c | 27.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 38c | 27.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed No | 54c | 27.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 39c | 27.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…dd11backed Yes | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…395bbacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 336 | 28.9%97 W · 239 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…af33backed No | 78c | 17.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.