CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe06fb245c166514a701b5346d15f019a10de1750bcc80fb148b55562cdf23651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof Lavked, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed Lavked | 57c | 7,032$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.49 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MANA eSports | 46c | 3,183$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.18 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MANA eSports | 59c | 2,835$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.7 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MANA eSports | 46c | 1,622$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.67 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MANA eSports | 43c | 1,568$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.85 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lavked | 53c | 1,402$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.61 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MANA eSports | 44c | 1,360$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.91 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MANA eSports | 37c | 1,000$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.86 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed MANA eSports | 42c | 730.64$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed MANA eSports | 43c | 703.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.21 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked MANA eSports | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.13 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Lavked | 66c | 698.68$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.33 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 59c | 660.46$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked | 50c | 620.64$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.06 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 13c | 573.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…9db8backed MANA eSports | 55c | 570$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Lavked | 45c | 530.12$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MANA eSports | 43c | 499.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed MANA eSports | 38c | 364.07$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.73 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Lavked | 66c | 350.06$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.72 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Lavked | 59c | 291.92$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Lavked | 68c | 279.41$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lavked | 57c | 275$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lavked | 46c | 250$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Lavked | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 45c | 217.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked MANA eSports | 25c | 208$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Lavked | 56c | 199.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MANA eSports | 39c | 192.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed MANA eSports | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MANA eSports | 68c | 149.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…1132backed Lavked | 68c | 147.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 27c | 142.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed MANA eSports | 38c | 132.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed MANA eSports | 38c | 130.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked Lavked | 63c | 127.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Lavked | 62c | 120.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Lavked | 13c | 111.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Lavked | 59c | 108.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Lavked | 70c | 106.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Lavked | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Lavked | 53c | 99.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MANA eSports | 42c | 86.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked Lavked | 45c | 83.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MANA eSports | 48c | 81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Lavked | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…48efbacked Lavked | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 25c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked MANA eSports | 39c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed MANA eSports | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 53c | 49.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lavked | 57c | 49.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MANA eSports | 38c | 48.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lavked | 47c | 46.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Lavked | 63c | 44.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ea…df21backed Lavked | 50c | 40.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Lavked | 59c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…7824backed Lavked | 58c | 34.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MANA eSports | 46c | 34.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lavked | 53c | 33.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Lavked | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…3655backed Lavked | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…a91ebacked Lavked | 68c | 30.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MANA eSports | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lavked | 51c | 28.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Lavked | 68c | 25.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed MANA eSports | 39c | 25.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…9991backed Lavked | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Lavked | 59c | 19.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…862dbacked Lavked | 69c | 17.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Lavked | 61c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group BLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.