CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d59cf839b43fbc30cb64b67d7db1a7d583a4725f325da40368fd6e526c073e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MANA eSports | 29c | 2,706$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.31 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lavked | 67c | 2,001$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.82 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked | 72c | 1,657$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.01 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lavked | 69c | 1,339$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.48 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked | 63c | 999.2$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.33 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lavked | 71c | 837.24$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.82 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MANA eSports | 26c | 532.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.11 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 78c | 529.1$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MANA eSports | 31c | 507$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…e804backed MANA eSports | 34c | 490$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MANA eSports | 55c | 408.11$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed MANA eSports | 39c | 384.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Lavked | 79c | 274.15$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MANA eSports | 37c | 238.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed MANA eSports | 53c | 207$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MANA eSports | 23c | 193.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MANA eSports | 25c | 182.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 70c | 181.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Lavked | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed MANA eSports | 50c | 136$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MANA eSports | 26c | 129.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…b2fabacked MANA eSports | 24c | 128.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MANA eSports | 36c | 100.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked MANA eSports | 30c | 62.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MANA eSports | 19c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Lavked | 71c | 50.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MANA eSports | 22c | 48.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MANA eSports | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked MANA eSports | 56c | 34.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed MANA eSports | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group BLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.