CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56c2fd37a0ac1f07f4d35e0503a68a4c0dc6ff0b9f0e76ac5b6c2be553e84b57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof Lavked, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MANA eSports | 56c | 848.94$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lavked | 40c | 462.84$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.14 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Lavked | 44c | 339.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…150ebacked MANA eSports | 60c | 333.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Lavked | 44c | 250$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MANA eSports | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Lavked | 43c | 176.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed MANA eSports | 60c | 167.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed MANA eSports | 58c | 140.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…b7a7backed MANA eSports | 58c | 138$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Lavked | 42c | 92.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…aa62backed Lavked | 44c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed MANA eSports | 58c | 60.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Lavked | 42c | 51.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed MANA eSports | 55c | 36.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lavked | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed MANA eSports | 56c | 31.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Lavked | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Lavked | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed MANA eSports | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lavked | 43c | 27.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…97fcbacked MANA eSports | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked MANA eSports | 56c | 19.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group BLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.