CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x340d7ef51ee83acd927774e70bc8809ffb718b6ba67cecd99ab9d9aee32d7701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Inner Circle Esports | 74c | 442.5$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Inner Circle Esports | 79c | 332.16$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Spirit Academy | 28c | 234.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Spirit Academy | 24c | 184.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Spirit Academy | 8c | 173.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…558bbacked Spirit Academy | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Inner Circle Esports | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Spirit Academy | 40c | 149.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Inner Circle Esports | 77c | 140.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit Academy | 18c | 139.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit Academy | 21c | 126.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Spirit Academy | 23c | 116.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Spirit Academy | 25c | 110.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit Academy | 12c | 102.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…9433backed Spirit Academy | 12c | 102.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Spirit Academy | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Inner Circle Esports | 70c | 92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Spirit Academy | 25c | 66.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spirit Academy | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…041dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 74c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -13.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit Academy | 26c | 52.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 75c | 52.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked Spirit Academy | 31c | 51.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Inner Circle Esports | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…771ebacked Spirit Academy | 39c | 39.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Spirit Academy | 34c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 79c | 30.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Inner Circle Esports | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Inner Circle Esports | 63c | 19.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Inner Circle Esports | 78c | 17.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Inner Circle Esports | 75c | 16.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Inner Circle Esports | 72c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit Academy - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs Spirit Academy (+3.5)Inner Circle Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.