CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814457b96daf28bfd25251d7ef3f5836b38ec861892690524ad8541f7cea3cea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Spirit Academy | 23c | 329.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit Academy | 12c | 311.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit Academy | 11c | 287.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 259$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Spirit Academy | 12c | 204$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Spirit Academy | 9c | 198.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Inner Circle Esports | 79c | 194.03$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle Esports | 78c | 192$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle Esports | 75c | 104.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Spirit Academy | 19c | 96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Spirit Academy | 19c | 96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 77c | 94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 80c | 91.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle Esports | 75c | 56.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 77c | 28.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs Spirit Academy (+3.5)Inner Circle Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.