Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea86f92507dc97a1214bd9b89f4d9e93a243c3e97568b47b10f11e591cf47a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 79c | 2,703$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.44 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes | 24c | 2,076$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.48 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…ecddbacked Yes | 22c | 1,533$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.89 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 14c | 505.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 20c | 387.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 19c | 349.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…395bbacked Yes | 21c | 340$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 336 | 28.9%97 W · 239 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed Yes | 9c | 331.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 72c | 327.74$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 19c | 315.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 291.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4d…bb01backed No | 69c | 287.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 218 | 29.4%64 W · 154 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 70c | 287.5$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 80c | 281.5$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 270.7$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 72c | 261.09$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…87d4backed Yes | 23c | 253.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 29c | 241.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…4347backed Yes | 27c | 241.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 10c | 239.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 13c | 229.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 6c | 216.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 75c | 212.1$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 20c | 211.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 207$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 24c | 199.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 179$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 33c | 174$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed Yes | 18c | 173.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked No | 73c | 171.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 23c | 166.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 22c | 162.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 155.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…6372backed No | 79c | 144.59$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 9c | 136.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 17c | 134.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 30c | 133.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 28c | 122.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 13c | 119.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 13c | 118$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 74c | 102$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 101$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 16c | 99.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 78c | 99.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…a330backed Yes | 11c | 91.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 89.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 88.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 85.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 80c | 79.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…b9f4backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 69c | 73.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a338backed Yes | 28c | 70.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +29.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 18c | 59.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 19c | 55.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 79c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 73c | 52.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 76c | 49.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 76c | 48.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902b…6e29backed No | 74c | 48.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 29c | 45.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 75c | 43.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 37.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 28c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 69c | 34.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 75c | 33.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75f…f98bbacked No | 79c | 29.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed No | 71c | 26.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 80c | 26.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 79c | 25.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948f…0b98backed No | 78c | 23.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 119 | 83.2%99 W · 20 L | +21.5wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 71c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x599f…3317backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 125 | 78.4%98 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…be0dbacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1586…cd6cbacked No | 71c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 75c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0f…229abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.