Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11f6ba9f58d0a2d59f3d7b43eb217828623b027861292d6b7c6076d2e7c13f65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52c6…4347backed Yes | 0c | 10,924$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 0c | 3,642$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6fd1backed Yes | 1c | 2,796$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…ecddbacked Yes | 11c | 2,682$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.78 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 74c | 967.22$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.22 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked Yes | 22c | 842.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.26 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 3c | 673.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 521.27$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e42…4938backed Yes | 33c | 510$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.24 | 388 | 30.2%117 W · 271 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…a8edbacked Yes | 26c | 437.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 74c | 267.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 78c | 265.53$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 22c | 259.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 26c | 250.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 79c | 237.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 7c | 217$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 72c | 207.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed Yes | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 20c | 194.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 194.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 25c | 188.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 165$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 159$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 79c | 152.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 38c | 149.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e80…22b8backed Yes | 21c | 148.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 78c | 142.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 35c | 136.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 23c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 9c | 118.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 23c | 113.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 110.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 109.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 31c | 99.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 162 | 20.4%33 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 99.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…649cbacked Yes | 29c | 97.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 26c | 94.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 77c | 84.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…932abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 72c | 72.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 24c | 72.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 28c | 71.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 21c | 69.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 28c | 67.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 68c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked No | 65c | 62.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 32c | 57.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbc…8a45backed Yes | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 28c | 55.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…5ac2backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 54.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63cc…eec5backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…0bb7backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…caffbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…95bebacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 87 | 17.2%15 W · 72 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 49.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a338backed No | 62c | 48.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +29.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 73c | 47.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 25c | 42.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…ce23backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked Yes | 27c | 37.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 37.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 71c | 34.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 63c | 32.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde6…71dcbacked No | 78c | 29.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 78c | 25.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…4e25backed No | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 71c | 24.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 55c | 20.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…7055backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 74c | 17.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 76c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 79c | 14.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.