Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61e3976c2ad06d0bafd961aa13fe539107ce3cbb6bb2d3ea1ae377251661e83b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 7c | 3,957$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.84 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 18c | 1,250$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0a…6830backed Yes | 35c | 886.66$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +135%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked No | 13c | 861.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.67 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 852.8$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.86 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 14c | 846.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 747.97$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 26c | 740.29$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.55 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 63c | 735.09$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 2c | 709.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…079bbacked No | 29c | 679.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 41c | 660.49$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.86 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 48c | 600.4$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.49 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed No | 59c | 592.43$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.94 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 561.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed No | 8c | 458.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.27 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 38c | 435.25$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked No | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 4c | 405.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 19c | 398.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.1 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 30c | 354.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.77 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 74c | 324.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked No | 9c | 309.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 11c | 307.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.66 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 11c | 306.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.83 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 43c | 282.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.53 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 43c | 282.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 17c | 275.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.91 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 11c | 265.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 8c | 262.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.74 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 12c | 260$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 9c | 253$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.72 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…6ff7backed No | 65c | 252.79$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 20c | 244.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.82 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed No | 16c | 243$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 39c | 242.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.39 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed No | 37c | 233.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 11c | 224.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 13c | 213.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.39 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 37c | 211.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.72 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 54c | 209.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…f56bbacked No | 78c | 205.91$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 7c | 198.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed No | 17c | 188.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 38c | 176.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 176$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 9c | 174.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…5a65backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 53c | 167.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2f…fb48backed Yes | 9c | 165.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 67c | 164.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…98efbacked Yes | 64c | 161$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed No | 8c | 154.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.51 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 65c | 146.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 61c | 140.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 10c | 136.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.47 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 60c | 134.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 126.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 56c | 122.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 19c | 121.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked No | 14c | 112$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…4409backed No | 11c | 108.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed No | 14c | 108.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 25c | 107.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 62c | 97.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ac…54fcbacked No | 21c | 94.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 12c | 93.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 56c | 90.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 65c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…2de4backed No | 12c | 85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 29c | 78.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 15c | 74.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +295%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 57c | 73.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 15c | 71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…b552backed Yes | 40c | 70.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 14c | 70.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 22c | 67.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 61c | 66.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 68c | 64.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf5…e344backed Yes | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 51c | 59.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 23c | 55.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 40c | 52.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 49c | 51.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…7870backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 52c | 48.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…ef14backed No | 22c | 45.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…33b5backed Yes | 77c | 45.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 75c | 44.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 51c | 39.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 36c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 39c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…1e7bbacked Yes | 68c | 36.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 92 | 70.7%65 W · 27 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked Yes | 42c | 36.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Yes | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e58…8033backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23f6…0f48backed Yes | 75c | 26.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.