TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
WW Teamof Team Nemesis, WW Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce7a…75d7backed WW Team49c6,090$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102.043756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked WW Team63c3,674$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.932,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Team Nemesis51c3,562$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.5975056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed WW Team42c3,512$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.9946243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Team Nemesis58c3,111$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.9887244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Team Nemesis58c2,628$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.5838739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked WW Team46c2,462$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.791,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed WW Team42c2,432$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.4510952.3%57 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Team Nemesis55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x19f5…6092backed WW Team45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Team Nemesis43c1,854$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.3356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Team Nemesis56c1,780$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.5610445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Nemesis48c1,647$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.612,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed WW Team41c1,260$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.7117230.8%53 W · 119 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked WW Team51c1,237$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.594742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis57c1,218$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.357,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Team Nemesis53c1,047$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.336253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis69c1,047$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.963,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b14…2d9bbacked WW Team53c1,031$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.55453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked WW Team43c990.82$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.655,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed WW Team43c987.44$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.128549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Team Nemesis57c982.54$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.520838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed WW Team41c941.94$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.8724550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Team Nemesis50c888$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44416750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed WW Team43c830.13$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.9618943.4%82 W · 107 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Team Nemesis11c812.61$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87205%1 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-84.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked WW Team44c811.92$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.534943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Team Nemesis51c795$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.459537.9%36 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Nemesis56c760.02$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf174…d052backed Team Nemesis75c668.77$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked WW Team52c654.19$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.771,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed WW Team57c646.23$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.096,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9589…5b36backed Team Nemesis52c642$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.424862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2a6…9837backed Team Nemesis51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3064643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed WW Team43c599.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.996259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed WW Team52c598.24$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.2625845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Nemesis50c584.04$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0215141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Nemesis34c576.79$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.952,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed WW Team49c574.1$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.7939851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed Team Nemesis65c530.39$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.5958762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Team Nemesis57c483$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3110538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Nemesis58c476.92$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.617856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Team Nemesis55c474$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3429647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed WW Team27c471.75$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.94911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-58.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Team Nemesis50c468$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23412545.6%57 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Team Nemesis35c458.21$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606953.6%37 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed WW Team51c394.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.824,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eff…30d6backed Team Nemesis50c384$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd395…d76abacked WW Team54c371.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Team Nemesis57c368.42$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed WW Team47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.514863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…6f9cbacked Team Nemesis53c344.48$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.464454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked WW Team42c336.4$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19618550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Team Nemesis57c330$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.445244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis55c314.77$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.325,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Nemesis68c310$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.876546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Team Nemesis52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15624850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Team Nemesis58c299.88$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.936243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0163…f584backed WW Team52c292.35$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Team Nemesis59c275$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.251,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x205c…00c7backed Team Nemesis56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked Team Nemesis53c251.77$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4218043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked WW Team43c251.16$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1647147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Team Nemesis50c245.2$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8670038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WW Team46c240.17$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.535,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed WW Team43c238.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.382568%17 W · 8 L+6.1wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+56.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x494c…8923backed Team Nemesis49c228.81$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11112351.2%63 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked WW Team44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2713043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed WW Team46c223.91$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.913948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa119…52efbacked WW Team49c223$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Team Nemesis59c216.93$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9913246.2%61 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed WW Team37c215.85$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.251,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb1…4ed2backed Team Nemesis50c204$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed WW Team43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11432844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Nemesis54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked WW Team51c196.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.051,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Team Nemesis53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021867%146 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked WW Team53c186.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0945956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13e6…17c4backed Team Nemesis49c181$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.62850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Team Nemesis55c179.82$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.333539.4%132 W · 203 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis53c178.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.755,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14c6…e59abacked WW Team62c172.09$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.532055%11 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked WW Team49c155.6$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6532536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Nemesis58c155.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9054348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed WW Team46c150$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.554032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Nemesis17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7224538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Team Nemesis56c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.45242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Team Nemesis54c141$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4538037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf82c…0f6fbacked Team Nemesis53c137.91$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.092948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked WW Team67c132$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5612946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed WW Team42c129.45$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5331735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed WW Team44c117.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6628046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…5b84backed Team Nemesis56c117.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Nemesis50c114.32$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7671951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis50c114.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.952,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked WW Team44c113.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.311,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed WW Team49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2946344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Team Nemesis48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8f…3155backed Team Nemesis51c103$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Team Nemesis57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712152.1%63 W · 58 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.