MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31adeb60257394cd5b4656841e37063fa5f0dba7796097490351b834cc0407a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Athletics, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 33c | 36,390$12,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,136.19 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…4201backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 34,300$19,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,826.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 42c | 17,411$7,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,357.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 10,559$6,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.65 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 41c | 8,067$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.46 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 7,840$5,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 7,200$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 42c | 7,179$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.24 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 6,555$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.59 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 6,500$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics | 37c | 6,170$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.85 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 5,908$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.43 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Athletics | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 2,863$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.24 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 2,689$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.67 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Athletics | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 41c | 1,763$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.18 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Athletics | 33c | 1,678$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.86 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 1,560$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.38 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics | 43c | 1,409$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.67 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 40c | 1,365$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Athletics | 40c | 1,262$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.42 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 1,205$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.31 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Athletics | 2c | 1,137$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Athletics | 40c | 1,131$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.24 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,040$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,026$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.26 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Athletics | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Athletics | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 28c | 928.88$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 878$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 876.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.99 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 40c | 853.78$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 820$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 736$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.28 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics | 27c | 709.19$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.19 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 43c | 670.9$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.49 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 662.3$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.17 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 593.5$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.02 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Athletics | 23c | 579.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 572.61$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Athletics | 41c | 562$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.42 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Athletics | 42c | 549$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.58 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 522.5$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Athletics | 42c | 501.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 501$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.43 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Athletics | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Athletics | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 472.13$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.85 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 465.05$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.62 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 40c | 452.6$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.67 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 447.91$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Athletics | 43c | 436.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Athletics | 42c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 391.48$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 388.93$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.47 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Athletics | 43c | 339$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 328.83$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.53 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Athletics | 41c | 307.86$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 301.93$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.77 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Athletics | 41c | 279.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 43c | 274.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 270.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 31c | 258.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 252$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 249.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Athletics | 40c | 239.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 238$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 41c | 210$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Athletics | 47c | 195$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Athletics | 47c | 192.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 191.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 191.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Athletics | 41c | 180$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Athletics | 39c | 175.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 163.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Athletics | 43c | 163.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Athletics | 49c | 156$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Athletics | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 149.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 145.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 141.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Athletics | 41c | 138.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Athletics | 40c | 138$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 133$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Athletics | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Athletics | 47c | 127$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Athletics | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.