WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0243cc111b5db720c540181265b5bffcd7c93877f10ae8f0de5581ace74335a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed PortlandFire | 52c | 14,365$7,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,469.8 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 7,021$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.83 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked PortlandFire | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.98 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 3,608$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.11 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 2,835$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.59 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked PortlandFire | 52c | 2,260$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.2 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 2,222$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 1,226$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.9 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 921.69$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.28 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 914.58$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked PortlandFire | 52c | 910.92$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.68 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 907.86$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.98 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 517.29$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.28 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 511.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.68 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 442.85$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.28 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed PortlandFire | 13c | 354.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 193.92$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PortlandFire | 9c | 188.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 183$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 154.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 150.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PortlandFire | 51c | 125.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PortlandFire | 29c | 119.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire | 19c | 100.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 348 | 26.4%92 W · 256 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed PortlandFire | 53c | 94.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed PortlandFire | 27c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Minnesota Lynx | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Minnesota Lynx | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 51.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 49.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 49.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 41.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 35.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 33.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…97c4backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)this page
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 168.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.