WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc93d563d74ac7b7f3a462b7bdb0d3a0b07c60ad18ee3966022e7dd9fc690eca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 5,555$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.7 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 54c | 2,196$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PortlandFire | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.44 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed PortlandFire | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PortlandFire | 57c | 526.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed PortlandFire | 54c | 490$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 318.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.53 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 238.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed PortlandFire | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 161.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 70c | 142.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Minnesota Lynx | 39c | 112.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed PortlandFire | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked PortlandFire | 46c | 95.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed PortlandFire | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked PortlandFire | 54c | 63.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)this page
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 168.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.