Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbae6ff4573d731e61353828601e541e083e4c801ee3e00fea9e1cf40613af1dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 47c | 9,500$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.98 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 4,797$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 8c | 1,001$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 999.85$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.92 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 992$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.78 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…8732backed Under | 54c | 927.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 770$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.1 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 384.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…da6dbacked Over | 47c | 316.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 54c | 255$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 212.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Over | 47c | 191$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…fe91backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 103.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Under | 53c | 67.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Over | 48c | 52.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…6a82backed Over | 48c | 50.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…0ec7backed Over | 47c | 46.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…aa2cbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…50e2backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 148.5this page
- Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' RebelsColorado State Rams won
- Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 146.5Over won
- Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 147.5Over won
- Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-1.5)Colorado State Rams won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-2.5)Colorado State Rams won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-3.5)Colorado State Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.