Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a21f76a08d077643ad1fb3fd3fb274d6e9eae0be464e10ebde7d31aa6f15be1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 50c | 19,500$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 13,654$6,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,855.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 50c | 7,392$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 51c | 3,600$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 2,871$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 50c | 2,430$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.23 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 1,985$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.63 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 49c | 1,921$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.44 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Under | 51c | 1,420$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.22 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 1,369$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.39 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,033$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 717.17$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 49c | 412.24$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 49c | 411$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 50c | 313.47$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 52c | 257$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 210.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Over | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 200.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 50c | 162.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 50c | 156.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 105.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…da6dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 93.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Over | 50c | 71.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 51c | 52.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…09f9backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 46.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 49c | 40.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Under | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 78c | 18.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 147.5this page
- Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' RebelsColorado State Rams won
- Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 146.5Over won
- Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 148.5Over won
- Colorado State Rams vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-1.5)Colorado State Rams won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-2.5)Colorado State Rams won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-3.5)Colorado State Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.