Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15d8a872fd02cdabcff73a72fbf6267f8087321c8ba0c06154e194045249c8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Hawkeyesof Iowa Hawkeyes, Nebraska Cornhuskers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 12,727$6,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,536.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 8,382$4,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,306.38 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 6,299$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.35 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 5,476$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.19 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 5,402$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.18 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 4,674$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.82 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 2,582$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.77 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 1,007$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.49 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 704$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.08 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 508.62$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…8885backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 473.13$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 50c | 392.15$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 383.83$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.75 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 228.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 219.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 217.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…8b6cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 194.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 194.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 182.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 167.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 105.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 99.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 98.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 26c | 64.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54c | 60.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 57.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 55.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 50.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 48c | 47.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 46.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 40.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 39.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 36.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa027…f2d6backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)this page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa HawkeyesIowa Hawkeyes won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 139.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.