Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Campbell Fighting Camels (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5dbab10cc4128f5d5fcdd49cf2b1e5cd7c088620f8957c42ad1898626486e7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charleston Cougarsof Campbell Fighting Camels, Charleston Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 6,673$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.9 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 2,118$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 2,090$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.22 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Charleston Cougars | 48c | 502.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 354$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 305.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Charleston Cougars | 48c | 192.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charleston Cougars | 48c | 185$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 171.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Charleston Cougars | 51c | 70.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Charleston Cougars | 49c | 60.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Charleston Cougars | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 52c | 47.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 48c | 47.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Charleston Cougars | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Charleston Cougars | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 53c | 19.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Campbell Fighting Camels (-2.5)this page
- Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting CamelsCharleston Cougars won
- Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camels: O/U 157.5Under won
- Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camels: O/U 158.5Under won
- Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camels: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Campbell Fighting Camels (-1.5)Charleston Cougars won
- Spread: Campbell Fighting Camels (-3.5)Charleston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.