Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2accf6d9f772b8e2aa68fec6090d099aff64349ee3f50868f3b339a1904756d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern Wildcatsof Purdue Boilermakers, Northwestern Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,569 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 3,925$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.43 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Northwestern Wildcats | 51c | 3,921$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.29 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.93 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Boilermakers | 43c | 684.79$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…49bcbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 42c | 561.84$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 42c | 389.65$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.65 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Purdue Boilermakers | 42c | 242.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 198.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 58c | 170.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 55c | 142.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Purdue Boilermakers | 42c | 111.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 52c | 107.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northwestern Wildcats | 51c | 101.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Purdue Boilermakers | 44c | 96.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Northwestern Wildcats | 56c | 88.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Purdue Boilermakers | 42c | 78.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Northwestern Wildcats | 57c | 50.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 55c | 39.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 45c | 37.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 33.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Northwestern Wildcats | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Northwestern Wildcats | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-11.5)this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwestern WildcatsPurdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-12.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.