Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0651ed317d49784c9b158fbb82c4e375e8371381615af1f09e62103fb8f586a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5714…ae10backed Yes | 32c | 942.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 11c | 709.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 62c | 621.46$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 3c | 540$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 37c | 502.63$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 33c | 432.94$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 70c | 389.17$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 385.87$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 376.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 8c | 376.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.75 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 340.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.19 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…bd24backed Yes | 10c | 340.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Yes | 60c | 333.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 56c | 257.83$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 26c | 257.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 67c | 247.24$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 50c | 238.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 69c | 225.53$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…fcfdbacked Yes | 50c | 222.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked Yes | 5c | 216.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 59c | 211.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 21c | 209.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…717ebacked No | 32c | 208.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 49c | 204.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 24c | 185.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 37c | 184.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 40c | 171.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 60c | 163.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…bc0ebacked Yes | 31c | 149.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 18c | 149.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…5dd1backed Yes | 60c | 145.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 37c | 134.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +12.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 69c | 124.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed No | 62c | 115.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 68c | 111.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 40c | 103.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…0171backed Yes | 38c | 101.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 38c | 101.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…5844backed Yes | 39c | 100.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 27c | 99.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…f629backed Yes | 40c | 97.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 60c | 85.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7b32…a197backed Yes | 48c | 85.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 38c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 72c | 81.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 30c | 79.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 67c | 78.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 39c | 77.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 68.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…3fb3backed Yes | 51c | 68.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked No | 77c | 65.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…1dfbbacked No | 33c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…625fbacked No | 68c | 62.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 36c | 60.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 33c | 60.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 50c | 56.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed Yes | 19c | 56.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 66c | 52.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c2…0c32backed Yes | 39c | 52.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 46c | 51.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…64f0backed No | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…16e9backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…5864backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a59…5b52backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736a…26f0backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…33c1backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked Yes | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 70c | 48.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 64c | 48.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…1411backed No | 62c | 48.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Yes | 42c | 48.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…feffbacked No | 37c | 47.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 64c | 46.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked Yes | 39c | 46.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 41c | 46.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…0a12backed Yes | 64c | 46.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…8cbbbacked Yes | 45c | 46.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 61c | 45.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…bfbfbacked No | 22c | 45.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 79c | 44.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed Yes | 57c | 44.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…7428backed No | 44c | 42.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.