Asian League · resolved market
Fagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x971bef24590106aa23251348b3a63ba2844d36bfd8c608544741cd0605ab5876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,768$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.64 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 50c | 1,527$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.89 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 27c | 728.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 537.23$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.61 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 35c | 485.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Yes | 50c | 449.8$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 47c | 299.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 291.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.03 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 229.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 53c | 189.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Yes | 52c | 113.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 30c | 113.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 99.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed No | 59c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 43c | 70.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 32c | 63.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 48c | 62.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.30per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 58c | 32.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 77c | 28.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fagiano Okayama (-2.5)Shimizu S-Pulse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.