Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9f60d30e3ac6807633184885ce2cd89ea260c1bf87d2d738f79a287c688c108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 1,006$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.94 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 333$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 194.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 40c | 166.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 12c | 152.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Under | 40c | 142.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 59c | 102.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 91.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 39c | 83.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 53c | 40.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 40.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 61c | 39.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…03b0backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)FC Dallas won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.