South American Leagues · resolved market
América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa341e01a6bcf25bca2021344c429d46ed51618dcdc9b1b507a72acf9789fa799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 3,999$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.65 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 3,175$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 16c | 3,110$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.59 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 2,803$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.65 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 13c | 962.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 20c | 299.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 37c | 268.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 94.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 45c | 67.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 32c | 58.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Under | 57c | 27.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 64c | 19.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…1d36backed Over | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5this page
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 0.5Under won
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5Under won
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5Under won
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 4.5Under won
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: América de Cali (-1.5)CSyD Macará won
- Spread: América de Cali (-2.5)CSyD Macará won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)América de Cali won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.