South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: América de Cali (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe409c9e17983d7b5c279e5eed7d0e2930a731c3daf55a073abc79ac3bd874315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSyD Macaráof América de Cali, CSyD Macará
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed CSyD Macará | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.42 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed América de Cali | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed CSyD Macará | 70c | 495.02$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.49 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed América de Cali | 29c | 472.55$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked América de Cali | 28c | 409.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed América de Cali | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed América de Cali | 28c | 268.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed América de Cali | 30c | 198.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CSyD Macará | 79c | 169$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked América de Cali | 21c | 169$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed América de Cali | 29c | 164.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed CSyD Macará | 70c | 144.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked América de Cali | 30c | 85.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed América de Cali | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked América de Cali | 30c | 64.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked CSyD Macará | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked América de Cali | 32c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed América de Cali | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed América de Cali | 28c | 43.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CSyD Macará | 69c | 19.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed CSyD Macará | 77c | 14.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: América de Cali (-1.5)this page
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 0.5Under won
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5Under won
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5Under won
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5Under won
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 4.5Under won
- América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: América de Cali (-2.5)CSyD Macará won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)América de Cali won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.