Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c9cd26d06d3df4367d56fd287d75616dafbb59af649a6b8349c87a5a27e2d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 50c | 11,728$5,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,860.56 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 48c | 6,413$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 45c | 2,068$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.95 | 550 | 38.9%214 W · 336 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 1,935$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.21 | 368 | 27.4%101 W · 267 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 50c | 1,665$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.56 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 1,644$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.9 | 474 | 47.9%227 W · 247 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 53c | 1,400$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.61 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 1,126$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.89 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 50c | 1,045$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.5 | 446 | 54.7%244 W · 202 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…05d8backed Yes | 43c | 919.49$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 50c | 848$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 25c | 755$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.49 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 53c | 701.41$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 50c | 413.74$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.87 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…63a7backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…f1c4backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 350$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 329 | 39.5%130 W · 199 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 51c | 310$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…481bbacked No | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 50c | 207.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed No | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 183.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 49c | 118.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 44c | 108.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747d…73b7backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 92.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 999 | 44.7%447 W · 552 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 73c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 72c | 60.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 48c | 51.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…fc7abacked Yes | 50c | 46.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 30.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 439 | 55.4%243 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 53c | 28.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 27.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 720 | 50.1%361 W · 359 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 46c | 25.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Yes | 51c | 23.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…47fdbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: AC Milan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: AC Milan O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: AC Milan O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Venezia FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Venezia FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Venezia FC O/U 0.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Venezia FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Venezia FC won
- Spread: Venezia FC (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: Venezia FC (-2.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.