Serie A · resolved market
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d26a9e6efd0e03f7e24c344f86d422e789e8183f1e44fd5f2548af58efffdb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AC Milanof AC Milan, Venezia FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed AC Milan | 41c | 60,976$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,975.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Venezia FC | 59c | 32,874$19,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,400.01 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Venezia FC | 63c | 24,130$15,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,136.94 | 368 | 27.4%101 W · 267 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee0…6bb2backed AC Milan | 41c | 23,541$9,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,889.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Venezia FC | 65c | 17,717$11,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,547.37 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Venezia FC | 59c | 15,723$9,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,276.62 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked AC Milan | 42c | 11,476$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,656.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Venezia FC | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed AC Milan | 42c | 7,763$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.89 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked AC Milan | 32c | 7,522$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,121.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed AC Milan | 29c | 5,911$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.49 | 380 | 39.7%151 W · 229 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Venezia FC | 59c | 3,980$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.3 | 720 | 50.1%361 W · 359 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Venezia FC | 58c | 3,301$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Venezia FC | 59c | 3,101$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.24 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Venezia FC | 59c | 3,100$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Venezia FC | 59c | 2,749$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.86 | 446 | 54.7%244 W · 202 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AC Milan | 33c | 2,590$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.3 | 2,023 | 39.4%798 W · 1,225 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Venezia FC | 59c | 2,144$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.51 | 999 | 44.7%447 W · 552 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Venezia FC | 59c | 1,719$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.66 | 474 | 47.9%227 W · 247 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Venezia FC | 55c | 1,709$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked AC Milan | 26c | 1,305$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +254.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed AC Milan | 27c | 1,284$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.98 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Venezia FC | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 412 | 53.2%219 W · 193 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed AC Milan | 45c | 1,207$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed AC Milan | 41c | 1,111$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.49 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked AC Milan | 42c | 1,098$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.78 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Venezia FC | 58c | 1,064$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.35 | 348 | 52.9%184 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked AC Milan | 17c | 1,021$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.91 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Venezia FC | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed AC Milan | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked AC Milan | 41c | 772.79$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.95 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Venezia FC | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed AC Milan | 42c | 570.89$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.29 | 238 | 39.1%93 W · 145 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Venezia FC | 58c | 512$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.96 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Venezia FC | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked AC Milan | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed AC Milan | 40c | 399.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Venezia FC | 73c | 379.38$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.78 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed AC Milan | 28c | 358.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +167%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked AC Milan | 26c | 346.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.15 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Venezia FC | 71c | 310.49$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.99 | 550 | 38.9%214 W · 336 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Venezia FC | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked AC Milan | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Venezia FC | 60c | 299.81$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed AC Milan | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked AC Milan | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 176 | 39.2%69 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked AC Milan | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked AC Milan | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e40…56c1backed Venezia FC | 61c | 240.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked AC Milan | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Venezia FC | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Venezia FC | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Venezia FC | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…8011backed AC Milan | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed AC Milan | 31c | 166.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.47 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Venezia FC | 72c | 165.41$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed AC Milan | 20c | 157.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +223.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked AC Milan | 39c | 148.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Venezia FC | 74c | 128.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 513 | 49.3%253 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed AC Milan | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed AC Milan | 43c | 118.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed AC Milan | 41c | 118.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…1b78backed Venezia FC | 18c | 109.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked AC Milan | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed AC Milan | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…9fd1backed AC Milan | 23c | 108.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Venezia FC | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed AC Milan | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed AC Milan | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed AC Milan | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…0b95backed AC Milan | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…7158backed AC Milan | 41c | 97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…358bbacked AC Milan | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Venezia FC | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Venezia FC | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed AC Milan | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed AC Milan | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Venezia FC | 66c | 63.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed AC Milan | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…a82abacked Venezia FC | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed AC Milan | 34c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed AC Milan | 41c | 56.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Venezia FC | 61c | 54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Venezia FC | 59c | 52.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Venezia FC | 60c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Venezia FC | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked AC Milan | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed AC Milan | 34c | 48.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Venezia FC | 58c | 47.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f4…ba2dbacked AC Milan | 41c | 45.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…9c01backed AC Milan | 41c | 42.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…dc0fbacked AC Milan | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked AC Milan | 37c | 35.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Venezia FC | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked AC Milan | 41c | 33.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…d5aabacked Venezia FC | 61c | 31.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AC Milan | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Venezia FC | 59c | 27.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…c34fbacked AC Milan | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed AC Milan | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)this page
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: AC Milan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: AC Milan O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: AC Milan O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Venezia FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Venezia FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Venezia FC O/U 0.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Venezia FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Venezia FC won
- Spread: Venezia FC (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: Venezia FC (-2.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.